Phenological shifts of native and invasive species under climate change: insights from the Boechera–Lythrum model
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چکیده
منابع مشابه
Phenological shifts of native and invasive species under climate change: insights from the Boechera-Lythrum model.
Warmer and drier climates have shifted phenologies of many species. However, the magnitude and direction of phenological shifts vary widely among taxa, and it is often unclear when shifts are adaptive or how they affect long-term viability. Here, we model evolution of flowering phenology based on our long-term research of two species exhibiting opposite shifts in floral phenology: Lythrum salic...
متن کاملHerbarium records are reliable sources of phenological change driven by climate and provide novel insights into species' phenological cueing mechanisms.
PREMISE OF THE STUDY Climate change has resulted in major changes in the phenology of some species but not others. Long-term field observational records provide the best assessment of these changes, but geographic and taxonomic biases limit their utility. Plant specimens in herbaria have been hypothesized to provide a wealth of additional data for studying phenological responses to climatic cha...
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Climate change will require species to adapt to new conditions or follow preferred climates to higher latitudes or elevations, but many dispersal-limited freshwater species may be unable to move due to barriers imposed by watershed boundaries. In addition, invasive nonnative species may expand into new regions under future climate conditions and contribute to the decline of native species. We e...
متن کاملPredicting phenological shifts in a changing climate.
Phenological shifts constitute one of the clearest manifestations of climate warming. Advanced emergence is widely reported in high-latitude ectotherms, but a significant number of species exhibit delayed, or no change in, emergence. Here we present a mechanistic theoretical framework that reconciles these disparate observations and predicts population-level phenological patterns based solely o...
متن کاملContemporary perspectives on the niche that can improve models of species range shifts under climate change.
Pioneering efforts to predict shifts in species distribution under climate change used simple models based on the correlation between contemporary environmental factors and distributions. These models make predictions at coarse spatial scales and assume the constancy of present correlations between environment and distribution. Adaptive management of climate change impacts requires models that ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
سال: 2017
ISSN: 0962-8436,1471-2970
DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0032